Question
When will Elon Musk cease to be sole CEO of Tesla?
Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction
16 Jun 2029
(16 Aug 2027 - >01 Jan 2030)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <02 May 2024 | 2.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 16 Aug 2027 | — |
| median | 16 Jun 2029 | — |
| upper 75% | >01 Jan 2030 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2030 | 35.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 1, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:May 4, 2024
Authors:
Opened:May 1, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:May 4, 2024
