Question
When will Starship next reach an altitude of at least 200 kilometers?
Resolved:06 Jun 2024 14:00Total Forecasters71
Community Prediction
06 Jun 2024 20:31
(06 Jun 2024 03:21 - 08 Jun 2024 01:55)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 May 2024 | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 06 Jun 2024 03:21 | — |
| median | 06 Jun 2024 20:31 | — |
| upper 75% | 08 Jun 2024 01:55 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30 Jun 2024 | 7.1% | — |
What was the final result?06 Jun 2024 14:00
Community Baseline Score
42.3
Community Peer Score
52.1
Authors:
Opened:Apr 25, 2024
Closes:Jun 10, 2024
Resolves:Jun 10, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 28, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Apr 25, 2024
Closes:Jun 10, 2024
Resolves:Jun 10, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 28, 2024