Question

Contact lenses for augmented reality in use by innovators before 2026?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters197

Community Prediction

75%

(45% - 82%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

JohnMSmart

Opened:

May 13, 2016

Closed:

Nov 15, 2016

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 15, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 13, 2016

Technology

Computing and Math

2016 Leaderboard

Meta Has Already Won the Smart Glasses Race

Wired•Aug 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?

26 Nov 2029

Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?

60%

How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

1.28

Authors:

JohnMSmart

Opened:

May 13, 2016

Closed:

Nov 15, 2016

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 15, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 13, 2016

Technology

Computing and Math

2016 Leaderboard

Meta Has Already Won the Smart Glasses Race

Wired•Aug 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will at least 1% of people in any major city or country have experienced using augmented reality outside?

26 Nov 2029

Will more than 50% of US adults own a personal augmented reality device by 2050?

60%

How good will the best available retinal prosthesis be in 2030?

1.28