2 comments
65 forecasters
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?
40%chance
5 pp this week
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Opened:May 13, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:May 16, 2024
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
1% chance
226
Will the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before January 1, 2026?
1% chance
54
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
1% chance
71