53 forecasters

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

65%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

Forecast Timeline

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Authors:

Opened:

May 13, 2024

Closes:

Dec 30, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

May 16, 2024

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