Question
When will the Windows 10 desktop market share be surpassed by another Windows version?
Resolved:15 Jul 2025Total Forecasters13
Community Prediction
20 Aug 2025
(20 Jul 2025 - 19 Oct 2025)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 Jan 2025 | 0.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 20 Jul 2025 | — |
| median | 20 Aug 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | 19 Oct 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >31 Dec 2027 | 3.2% | — |
What was the final result?15 Jul 2025
Community Peer Score
36.4
Community Baseline Score
-2.9
Authors:
Opened:May 13, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2026
Resolves:Jan 1, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:May 16, 2024
Authors:
Opened:May 13, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2026
Resolves:Jan 1, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:May 16, 2024