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20 forecasters
1
0 comments
20 forecasters
Conditional Cup
condition

Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025?

Resolved:No
20 forecasters
if yes
if no

500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?

1%
1%
Resolved:Annulled

500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?

0%
0%
Resolved:No
if Yes1%
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2 comments17 forecasters

When 500k H5Nx Influenza Cases?

Current estimate
Jun 2032
2 comments96 forecasters

Will Bird Flu be declared a PHEIC before 2030?

51%chance
1 comment18 forecasters

H5N1 pandemic before 2030

29%chance
12 comments25 forecasters

Will there be a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

5.4%chance
2 comments21 forecasters

WHO announce non-H5N1 Pandemic in 2030

18%chance
1 comment9 forecasters

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2040?

50%chance
10 comments57 forecasters

5Y after AGI, engineered pandemic?

5%chance
51 comments199 forecasters

≥5 non-ship cases linked to the Hondius outbreak before Aug 2026?

1%chance