Question
When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?
Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction
Mar 2036
(09 Mar 2029 - >Jan 2040)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 09 Mar 2029 | — |
| median | Mar 2036 | — |
| upper 75% | >Jan 2040 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2040 | 44.6% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:May 17, 2024
Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:May 17, 2024