1 comment
7 forecasters
When will a country first introduce an antimatter weapon in its armed forces?
Current estimate
>2200
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Authors:
Opened:May 17, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2024
Will a non-test ASAT weapon be used against a satellite before 2030?
25% chance
102
If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?
Nov 2035
(15 Nov 2028 - Nov 2054)
Nov 2035
(15 Nov 2028 - Nov 2054)
23 forecasters
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?
25% chance
499