21 comments
30 forecasters
Will variants KP.2 and KP.1.1 (FLiRT variants) reach a combined 75% variant proportion in the United States in any period before September 28, 2024?
0.1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2024
Closes:Sep 28, 2024
Resolved:Nov 8, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 17, 2024
Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?
35.4% chance
32
What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2025-26 season through the end of April 2026?
80.7%
(73.2 - 88.6)
80.7%
(73.2 - 88.6)
15 forecasters
Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?
22% chance
47