462 forecasters

Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?

10%chance

10%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 10% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 1, 2016

Closes:

Nov 2, 2016

Resolved:

Nov 9, 2016

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 3, 2016

2016 Leaderboard

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

Will less than 70% of Fortune 500 CEOs in the US be non-Hispanic white in the year 2050?

Will an openly LGBTQ person be elected President of the United States by 2041?