11 comments
9 forecasters
If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?
Current estimate
189k $
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Authors:
Opened:May 23, 2024
Closes:Jun 30, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jul 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:May 27, 2024
When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?
6 forecasters
How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?
7 forecasters
When will the first human genome be artificially synthesized?
Jun 2043
(Oct 2034 - Jul 2059)
Jun 2043
(Oct 2034 - Jul 2059)
14 forecasters