Question
If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?
Total Forecasters9
Community Prediction
189k $
(112k $ - 297k $)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1000 $ | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 111.9k $ | — |
| median | 189.3k $ | — |
| upper 75% | 296.8k $ | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >400k $ | 14.0% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 23, 2024
Closes:Jun 30, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jul 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:May 27, 2024
Authors:
Opened:May 23, 2024
Closes:Jun 30, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jul 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:May 27, 2024