Question

Will at least 50 Kenyan military or police personnel arrive in Haiti before June 1, 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters55
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
86.9
Community Peer Score
6.7
Authors:
Opened:May 23, 2024
Closes:May 31, 2024
Resolves:Jun 3, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 24, 2024