Question
What will be the polling average gap in the UK national parliament voting intention between the Labour and Conservative parties according to The Economist on June 27, 2024?
Resolved:20Total Forecasters52
Community Prediction
20.5
(19.9 - 21.5)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <13 | 0.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 19.91 | — |
| median | 20.49 | — |
| upper 75% | 21.55 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >33 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?20
Community Baseline Score
70.5
Community Peer Score
38.5
Authors:
Opened:May 23, 2024
Closes:Jun 26, 2024
Resolves:Jul 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 26, 2024
Authors:
Opened:May 23, 2024
Closes:Jun 26, 2024
Resolves:Jul 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 26, 2024