4 comments
83 forecasters
Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?
33%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 33% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 15, 2016
Closes:Jun 15, 2017
Resolved:Dec 31, 2018
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 16, 2016
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23% chance
225
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
62% chance
56
Will there be another case of smallpox by the end of 2029?
5.9% chance
113