conditional

Make a Prediction

Trump guilty in Manhattan by Election Day

Trump Felony Conviction Before Election?

50%
community: 69%

What was the final result? Yes

Community Baseline Score
1.6
Community Peer Score
3.5

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:Jan 1, 2024
Closes:Nov 4, 2024
Resolves:Nov 4, 2024