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7 forecasters
2
0 comments
7 forecasters
Conditional Cup
condition

Trump guilty in Manhattan by Election Day

Resolved:Yes
7 forecasters
if yes
if no

Trump Felony Conviction Before Election?

69%
69%
Resolved:Yes

Trump Felony Conviction Before Election?

2%
2%
Resolved:Annulled
if Yes(Yes)
if No2%
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16 comments20 forecasters

Trump confinement date

Current estimate
01 Sep 2029
207 comments818 forecasters

Donald Trump Incarceration by 2030?

2%chance
5 comments36 forecasters

Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before Jan 21, 2029?

25%chance
3 comments67 forecasters

Will Trump release the Epstein files?

30%chance
4 comments24 forecasters

Will trump pay judgement before Jan 20, 2029?

0.1%chance
0 comments30 forecasters

Will Trump declare a national emergency re election integrity?

29%chance
13 comments103 forecasters

Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?

20%chance
3 comments20 forecasters

Will Rodrigo Duterte be convicted by the ICC by 2030?

75%chance