3 comments
101 forecasters
Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?
15%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 15% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 15, 2016
Closes:Jan 1, 2018
Resolved:Dec 30, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 16, 2016
Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?
27% chance
28
When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?
Sep 2045
(Dec 2031 - Apr 2067)
Sep 2045
(Dec 2031 - Apr 2067)
15 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
22.8% chance
225