MetaculusM

Question

Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?

Resolved :No15%

2

Total Forecasters101

Community Prediction15% (10% - 33%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

42.4

Community Peer Score

16.7

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Health & Pandemics

Division of Select Agents and Toxins

1984 Rajneeshee bioterror attack

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Health & Pandemics

Division of Select Agents and Toxins

1984 Rajneeshee bioterror attack