🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

When will there be a robot available for sale to the general public which can reliably and safely change an infant human diaper unassisted?

7
11
Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction2040-06-11 (2033-05-13 - 2060-12-05)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2100-01-01
...
...
...
...
2033-05-13 08:55
2040-06-11 21:07
2060-12-05 16:27
5.0%
Authors:
nweininger
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Technology
Artificial Intelligence
The New York Times
Robot

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