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How many wild polio cases will be detected by the World Health Organization in the following years?

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2024

2025

2027

2030

2035

2050

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 10, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 1, 2051

Health & Pandemics

2024 Leaderboard

2024-2025 Leaderboard

The world nearly beat polio. But fake records, misinformation and missteps aided its comeback

PBS NewsHour•Aug 5, 2025

The world nearly beat polio. But fake records, an imperfect vaccine and missteps aided its comeback

CNN•Aug 5, 2025

Takeaways from AP’s report on problems in the worldwide campaign to eradicate polio

Associated Press•Aug 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

What will be the total global disease burden (in DALYs) due to lead exposure in the following years?

How many Tuberculosis cases (per 100k people) will occur globally in the following years?

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 10, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Apr 1, 2051

Health & Pandemics

2024 Leaderboard

2024-2025 Leaderboard

The world nearly beat polio. But fake records, misinformation and missteps aided its comeback

PBS NewsHour•Aug 5, 2025

The world nearly beat polio. But fake records, an imperfect vaccine and missteps aided its comeback

CNN•Aug 5, 2025

Takeaways from AP’s report on problems in the worldwide campaign to eradicate polio

Associated Press•Aug 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will these diseases be eradicated according to the WHO?

What will be the total global disease burden (in DALYs) due to lead exposure in the following years?

How many Tuberculosis cases (per 100k people) will occur globally in the following years?