M

Question

Will there be a major nuclear or radiological accident before January 1, 2022?

Resolved :No7%
Total Forecasters129
Community Prediction7% (4% - 10%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 7%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
87.3
Community Peer Score
6.5
median 7.0%mean 8.2%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

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