286 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

22%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

Opened:

Jan 13, 2019

Closes:

Dec 31, 2099

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 15, 2101

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 14, 2019

AI Progress Essay Contest

Ragnarök Series

‘Godfather of AI’ Geoffrey Hinton Warns of Massive Unemployment and Widening Wealth Gap Due to AI Adoption

Breitbart•Sep 10, 2025

The MechaHitler defense contract is raising red flags

Verge•Sep 10, 2025

‘Godfather of AI’ warns tech will bring massive unemployment: ‘A few people much richer and most people poorer’

New York Post•Sep 10, 2025

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