Question
When will the first human be born on another world?
Total Forecasters142
Community Prediction
Aug 2072
(Feb 2044 - 2171)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Feb 2044 | — |
| median | Aug 2072 | — |
| upper 75% | 2171 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2500 | 12.0% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jan 15, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2500
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Jan 15, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2500
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2019