Question
When will the first human be born on another world?
Total Forecasters144
Community Prediction
Dec 2071
(Feb 2044 - 2165)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Feb 2044 | — |
| median | Dec 2071 | — |
| upper 75% | 2165 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2500 | 11.6% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 15, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2500
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Jan 15, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2500
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 15, 2019