Question

Will the UK's Conservative Government fall before 2020?

Resolved:No

40 comments40

Total Forecasters110

Community Prediction

35%

(30% - 45%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 35%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

28.9

Community Peer Score

18.1

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Jan 15, 2019

Closes:

May 31, 2019

Resolves:

Dec 30, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 15, 2019

Politics

2019 Leaderboard

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

20%

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025?

20%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Jan 15, 2019

Closes:

May 31, 2019

Resolves:

Dec 30, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 15, 2019

Politics

2019 Leaderboard

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

20%

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025?

20%