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11
21
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21 forecasters
Bot benchmarking question list
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How many months in prison will Hunter Biden be sentenced to before 2026?
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<1 months
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Less than 1 months
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Less than 1 months
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2%
chance
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Current estimate
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0.1%
chance
13 comments
12 forecasters
People pardoned by noon (EST) Jan 20, 2029?
Sam Bankman-Fried
15%
Elizabeth Holmes
20%
Larry Householder
42%
John Kiriakou
10%
2 others
12 comments
76 forecasters
How many times will Trump be impeached?
2
44.1%
3
41.4%
4
12.4%
5 or more
2.1%
8 comments
19 forecasters
Trump pardons politically violent offenders?
Paul Pelosi hammer attack
2%
Gretchen Whitmer kidnapping plot
20%
Josh Shapiro's residence arson attack
2%