25
51 forecasters

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

30%chance
Top Key Factors
Nigel Farage says 'no wrongdoing' after benefits from ally not declaredbbc.co.uk•Jul 6, 2026
bbc.co.uk logo
Decreases Likelihood
Reform polling numbers are declining
Decreases Likelihood