25
50 forecasters
Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?
43%chance
Top Key Factors
Nigel Farage says 'no wrongdoing' after benefits from ally not declaredbbc.co.uk•Jul 6, 2026
Decreases Likelihood
Reform polling numbers are declining
Decreases Likelihood
Nigel Farage says 'no wrongdoing' after benefits from ally not declaredbbc.co.uk•Jul 6, 2026
Decreases Likelihood
Reform polling numbers are declining
Decreases Likelihood