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11 forecasters
By 2030, will there be a synthetic protein fiber costing less than nylon?
2%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 3, 2024
Closes:Jul 1, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 6, 2024
When will synthetic-biology protein fibers reach 10% of the world's production?
Feb 2040
(Jun 2035 - Aug 2049)
Feb 2040
(Jun 2035 - Aug 2049)
6 forecasters
Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?
55% chance
12
Will chemicals produced from biomass achieve price parity with these three petrochemical equivalents before 2050?
47% chance
9