Question

By 2030, will there be a synthetic protein fiber costing less than nylon?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction

(1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Jul 3, 2024

Closes:

Jul 1, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 6, 2024

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2030: Synth protein fiber cheaper than nylon? → Synthetic protein fibers 10% of production?

When will synthetic-biology protein fibers reach 10% of the world's production?

Apr 2038

Will the cost of developing a bioproduct be reduced by 100x before 2045, compared with 2024?

54.9%

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