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2 forecasters
0 comments
2 forecasters
Synthetic Biology at Scale
condition

2030: Synth protein fiber cheaper than nylon?

2 forecasters
if yes
if no

Synthetic protein fibers 10% of production?

Oct 2033

Synthetic protein fibers 10% of production?

Oct 2059
if Yes23.7%
if No83.8%
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1 comment13 forecasters

2030: Synth protein fiber cheaper than nylon?

2.7%chance
2 comments6 forecasters

Synthetic protein fibers 10% of production?

Current estimate
Feb 2040
1 comment1 forecaster

When will protein fiber spinning be competitive with sythetic fibers?

Current estimate
2031
4 comments14 forecasters

2035: alternative protein market share >25%?

4.5%chance
1 comment14 forecasters

Will bioproduct development costs go ↓ 100x?

54.8%chance
0 comments11 forecasters

Bio-gas-fermented chems = petrochem price?

47%chance
1 comment14 forecasters

General biological manufacturing platform before 2035?

29.3%chance
3 comments14 forecasters

EU chemicals + plastics ≥50% bio-based pre-2034?

33%chance