53 forecasters

Will the number of Yellow-Vests-affiliated protesters in France decline?

59%chance

59%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 59% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 18, 2019

Closes:

Jan 31, 2019

Resolved:

Apr 1, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 18, 2019

2019 Leaderboard

The far-left failed to bring France to a standstill

Spectator (UK)•Sep 11, 2025

250 protesters intending to ‘block everything’ arrested in France as Macron installs new PM

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Hundreds arrested as ‘Block Everything’ protests grip France

Al Jazeera•Sep 10, 2025

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