M

Question

Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan?

Resolved :No
4
20
Total Forecasters185
Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
98.5
Community Peer Score
4.8
median 0.5%mean 0.8%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
johnnycaffeinelbiii
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Geopolitics

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