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1
25
forecasters
2
1 comment
25 forecasters
Conditional Cup
3 more...
condition
Biden announces drop-out before July 15 2024?
Resolved:
No
25 forecasters
if yes
if no
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
48%
48%
Resolved:
Annulled
Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
39%
39%
Resolved:
No
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48%
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16 comments
161 forecasters
Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
61%
chance
11 comments
240 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
Gavin Newsom
26.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.4%
Pete Buttigieg
7.4%
Other
43.5%
4 others
13 comments
103 forecasters
Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?
20%
chance
5 comments
50 forecasters
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
15 comments
42 forecasters
Will a prominent Dem seek asylum before Jan 20, 2029?
7%
chance
0 comments
103 forecasters
Losing US presidential candidate not conceding in these elections?
2021-2022
Annulled
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
Annulled
2027-2028
42%
7 comments
24 forecasters
Will the next U.S. President have a beard or mustache?
13%
chance
5 comments
25 forecasters
US States Won by Non-Major Parties in 2028
1%
chance