8 forecasters

What will Trump's lead over Biden be greater than 3 and less than or equal to 4 on July 15, 2024, according to 538's national polling average?

38%chance

38%chance

Annulled

Annulled

The community gave this a 38% chance, and it resolved Annulled.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 9, 2024

Closes:

Jul 10, 2024

Resolved:

Jul 9, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 10, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

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