M

Question

What will Trump's lead over Biden be greater than 3 and less than or equal to 4 on July 15, 2024, according to 538's national polling average?

Resolved :Annulled
18
Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction38%

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50%
community: 38%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

median 38.0%mean 37.3%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Tom_Metaculus
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