🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will US troops intervene in Venezuela?

Resolved :No26%
10
22
Total Forecasters87
Community Prediction26% (18% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 26%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
63.5
Community Peer Score
5.9
Authors:
James
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
2019 Leaderboard
Lima Group
Venezuela
National Assembly (Venezuela)
US Armed Forces
Nicolás Maduro
United States
Juan Guaidó

Comments

? comments