9 comments
17 forecasters
Will at least 5 countries win their first Olympic medal at the 2024 Games?
18%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 18% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 27, 2024
Closes:Aug 11, 2024
Resolved:Aug 11, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 29, 2024
Will the decision to reallocate the bronze medal in the women's floor exercise at the 2024 Paris Olympics from the US to Romania be overturned before 2026?
0.8% chance
48
In what year will the XTX AI International Math Olympiad main prize be won?
20 forecasters
When will an open-source AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
15 Aug 2026
(22 Jun 2025 - 28 Mar 2028)
15 Aug 2026
(22 Jun 2025 - 28 Mar 2028)
296 forecasters