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9
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17 forecasters
Sports & Entertainment
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Will at least 5 countries win their first Olympic medal at the 2024 Games?
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Yes
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800 forecasters
New country winner of the 2026 World Cup?
14%
chance
5 comments
23 forecasters
IMO AI Prize
2026
78%
2027
17%
2028 or later
3%
2024 or before
result:
No
2025
result:
No
77 comments
300 forecasters
Date AI Wins IMO Gold Medal?
Current estimate
17 Oct 2026
5 comments
7 forecasters
Rankings in the 2026 IMO?
China
3.37
United States of America
3.61
Republic of Korea
4.5
Japan
12.1
106 others
0 comments
17 forecasters
How many teams will compete in the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
29 or Fewer
0.1%
30 to 39
0.5%
40 to 49
57.8%
50 to 59
7.1%
60 or More
34.5%
0 comments
15 forecasters
Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
France
20.1%
Spain
19.7%
Brazil
12.4%
England
10.7%
5 others
6 comments
42 forecasters
Tennis at the 2044 Olympics
90%
chance
7 comments
57 forecasters
When will most G7 members recognize Palestine?
Current estimate
20 Dec 2028