🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

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Question

Will Trump's lead over Biden be greater than 2 and less than or equal to 4 on July 15, 2024, according to 538's national polling average?

Resolved :Yes65%
43
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction65% (56% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 65%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
Authors:
Tom_Metaculus
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Include Bots:Yes
Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
2024 Leaderboard

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