🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the United Kingdom enter a recession by 2021?

Resolved :Yes46%
26
43
Total Forecasters140
Community Prediction46% (30% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 46%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-15.9
Community Peer Score
2.0
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
2016-2020 Leaderboard
Office for National Statistics (UK)
HM Treasury
Brexit
United Kingdom
Gross domestic product

Comments

? comments