58 forecasters

Will the US government shut down on February 16th?

15%chance

15%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 15% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 8, 2019

Closes:

Feb 14, 2019

Resolved:

Feb 15, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 9, 2019

2019 Leaderboard

Republicans Get Warning About Government Shutdown in New Poll

Newsweek•Sep 17, 2025

Is the government about to shut down? Republicans and Democrats far apart in talks.

USA Today•Sep 17, 2025

Government Shutdown Chances as Republicans Roll Out Funding Plan

Newsweek•Sep 17, 2025

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