Question

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by Sept 30, 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction
3.5%
(2% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 3.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
Opened:Jul 17, 2024
Closes:Jul 18, 2024
Resolves:Oct 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 18, 2024
Include Bots:Yes