Question

Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q2 - US homicides will decline

Resolved:Yes

5 comments5

Total Forecasters78

Community Prediction

66%

(60% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 66%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

-2.5

Community Baseline Score

41.3

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Feb 26, 2019

Closes:

Jul 1, 2019

Resolves:

May 21, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 27, 2019

Future Perfect 2019 Series

Politics

2016-2020 Leaderboard

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

5.98

What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years?

5.32

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?