Question
Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction
8.85B people
(8.28B people - 9.51B people)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <5B | 1.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 8.283B | — |
| median | 8.854B | — |
| upper 75% | 9.512B | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >15B | 0.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024