Question
Five years after AGI, if there are digital people, what will be their population?
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction
36k people
(15.2 - 20.6M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 15.19 | — |
| median | 35.99k | — |
| upper 75% | 20.65M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1×10¹⁶ | 2.6% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024
