Question
Five years after AGI, if there are digital people, what will be their population?
Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction
375k people
(659 people - 377M people)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 658.7 | — |
| median | 374.6k | — |
| upper 75% | 376.8M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1×10¹⁶ | 3.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024