3 comments
33 forecasters
Five years after AGI, what will be the world’s real average annual GDP growth?
Current estimate
8.47%
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024
Five years after AGI, what will be world GDP per capita (biological humans only)?
30.4k $
(21.1k - 47.8k)
30.4k $
(21.1k - 47.8k)
17 forecasters
Five years after AGI, what will be world GDP per capita (biological plus digital humans)?
32.3k $
(20.9k - 49.3k)
32.3k $
(20.9k - 49.3k)
17 forecasters
What will be the real world GDP on the year AGI is deployed, in trillions of dollars?
166 trillions $
(121 - 404)
166 trillions $
(121 - 404)
52 forecasters