Question
Five years after AGI, what % of people will be living in extreme poverty?
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction
6.68%
(1.09% - 8.83%)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 1.088% | — |
| median | 6.684% | — |
| upper 75% | 8.828% | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >10% | 17.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024