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13 comments
28 forecasters

What will be the combined maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people relative to the maximum weekly rate of the peak disease in the 2024-25 season?

Latest estimate
1.43 ratio
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:Jul 17, 2024
Closed:Mar 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jun 28, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 25, 2024
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Health & Pandemics
🏆 2024-2025 Leaderboard
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What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV
3.5
Flu
9.78
COVID-19
4.08
1 other
17 forecasters

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

RSV
05 Jan 2026
Flu
09 Jan 2026
COVID-19
02 Jan 2026
1 other
18 forecasters

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

19% chance
47
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